Player Prop Results for September 05, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 327-378 on September 05, 2026, across 705 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly because every pick is tracked: 327 wins, 378 losses, all graded.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 327-378

Biggest Wins

• Hao-Yu Lee — Batter Total Bases Under. Result: WIN, actual 0.0. LineCrush’s models faded Lee’s total bases, and it landed exactly where we needed: zero. An under that cleared without sweat.
• Cal Raleigh — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50. Result: WIN, actual 4.0. Our analysis backed pop and opportunity, and Raleigh delivered with four total bases, more than doubling the required 1.5.
• Pete Alonso — Batter Total Bases Under. Result: WIN, actual 0.0. We leaned under on Alonso’s total bases, and he finished with none. A clean cash that aligned with our read.
• Cody Bellinger — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50. Result: WIN, actual 1.0. The under needed him at 1 or fewer, and he landed on exactly 1.0. Tight number, right side.
• Daulton Varsho — Batter Total Bases Under. Result: WIN, actual 1.0. Another under that held up; 1.0 total bases kept this comfortably inside the target.

Where We Missed

• Taj Bradley — Pitcher Outs Over 17.50. Result: LOSS, actual 15.0. We needed six full innings and change; Bradley didn’t get there, finishing three outs short of the mark. That’s a clear miss on workload.
• Braxton Ashcraft — Pitcher Strikeouts Under 6.50. Result: LOSS, actual 9.0. We projected fewer punchouts; he struck out nine. This wasn’t close and went firmly against our under.
• Austin Riley — Batter Total Bases Under. Result: LOSS, actual 4.0. We played against extra-base damage; Riley stacked four total bases and invalidated the under decisively.
• Tyler Glasnow — Pitcher Strikeouts Under. Result: LOSS, actual 8.0. We were on the under, but Glasnow reached eight strikeouts, clearing the threshold and handing us the L.
• Connor Norby — Batter Hits Over 0.50. Result: LOSS, actual 1.0. This is a straight miss: we needed at least one hit to cash the over, and Norby did record one. Our pick loses in this case.

A losing slate is a losing slate: 327 wins and 378 losses on the day, all in MLB. The highlights show where LineCrush’s models were sharp on total bases unders and a couple of well-timed overs, but the misses underscore where our reads on pitcher workload and strikeout ceilings didn’t hold up, and where a straightforward hits over failed to convert despite the box score.

Every pick you see here is graded publicly, win or lose. If you tailed or faded, you can verify each result on LineCrush — the full ledger for September 05, 2026, is live, with every prop, outcome, and grade available for review.

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