Player Prop Results for August 31, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 272-342 on August 31, 2026, across 614 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins, all graded and posted. Every result below comes straight from LineCrush’s models’ posted picks and final box scores.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 272-342 (all 614 graded props came from MLB)

Biggest Wins

• Elmer Rodríguez — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 4.50: WIN, actual 5.0. This one landed right on the number needed, and it cashed. Our analysis expected enough swing-and-miss to clear a modest strikeout bar, and Rodríguez finished with five.
• Jake Bauers — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 1.0. The Under held with room to spare. Limiting extra-base damage was the key angle, and Bauers stayed at a single total base.
• Cal Raleigh — Batter Home Runs Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. We needed a homer, and Raleigh delivered exactly that. When the Over hits on 0.50 HR, the margin is binary; one swing made it a winner.
• Michael Harris — Batter Hits Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Harris cleared his hits Over with a multi-hit performance. Simple and clean: the Over needed traffic, and he produced two knocks.
• Gabriel Moreno — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0. Moreno didn’t just get on the board; he doubled the requirement with two hits, comfortably validating the Over 0.50 position.

Where We Missed

• Zach Neto — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. We needed at least two total bases and didn’t get there. One base short is still a loss, and this one finished under the bar.
• Nico Hoerner — Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We projected a steal chance; none materialized. With 0.0 in the box score, the Over didn’t come close.
• Jazz Chisholm — Batter Stolen Bases Over: LOSS, actual 0.0. Another aggressive steals Over that didn’t convert. No bag, no debate — this graded a loss.
• Ceddanne Rafaela — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. We played the Under and got beat by a two-total-base line in the game results. Crossing the 1.50 mark put this squarely into the loss column.
• Connor Norby — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. Similar story to Neto: the Over needed two or more total bases, but it stopped at one. That left us on the wrong side.

Every one of these outcomes is graded exactly as listed, win or lose, without adjustment or spin. On a day dominated by MLB volume, the slate finished 272-342. The highlights included a narrow but correct read on Elmer Rodríguez’s strikeout ceiling and a clean Under with Jake Bauers’ limited total bases. Cal Raleigh’s home run Over hit on a single long ball, and both Michael Harris and Gabriel Moreno surpassed their hits thresholds with two apiece.

The misses were just as clear. Over 1.50 total bases plays on Zach Neto and Connor Norby ended at 1.0, short of the target. Aggressive stolen base Overs on Nico Hoerner and Jazz Chisholm resulted in 0.0 steals, and a Ceddanne Rafaela Under 1.50 total bases was beaten by an actual of 2.0.

LineCrush’s models publish and grade every pick publicly, every day. You can review the full 614 prop results from August 31, 2026 — every win and every loss — on our site.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.