Player Prop Results for August 27, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 192-211 on August 27, 2026, across 403 graded player props. That’s a losing day. LineCrush’s models delivered a 47.6% hit rate overall, with MLB carrying most of the volume and WNBA finishing slightly positive.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 158-179
• WNBA: 34-32

Biggest Wins

• Sal Frelick (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN. Our analysis called for a muted bases profile, and he finished with 0.0 total bases. Clean under.
• Veronica Burton (WNBA) — Assists Over 6.50: WIN. LineCrush’s models projected strong facilitation, and she cleared it emphatically with 13.0 assists.
• Jazz Chisholm (MLB) — Batter Singles Over: WIN. We backed his singles volatility to break positive, and he landed 1.0 single to cash the over.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN. Models leaned under on extra-base damage; he finished at 0.0 total bases.
• Shakira Austin (WNBA) — Rebounds Under 9.50: WIN. Our projection had her rebounding share capped; she closed with 7.0 boards, safely under.

Where We Missed

• Gabby Williams (WNBA) — Points Under 13.50: LOSS. We were under on her scoring output, and she beat the line with 16.0 points. That’s an unequivocal miss against our number.
• Sabrina Ionescu (WNBA) — Assists Over 4.50: LOSS. The over never got there; she finished at 4.0 assists, a full assist short of the target.
• Sean Manaea (MLB) — Pitcher Earned Runs Under: LOSS. We projected fewer runs allowed, but he was tagged for 6.0 earned runs, blowing past the under.
• Cody Bellinger (MLB) — Batter Hits Runs RBIs Over: LOSS. We needed more cumulative production; he ended at 1.0 in the H+R+RBI column, short of the over.
• Pete Alonso (MLB) — Batter RBIs Over: LOSS. The over required run production that didn’t materialize; he finished with 0.0 RBIs.

What this means

• Volume was concentrated in MLB, where we finished 158-179. Despite standout unders on Sal Frelick and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., the slate overall ran against several of our batter and pitcher positions.
• WNBA posted a narrow 34-32 positive mark. Veronica Burton’s 13.0 assists was a clear model edge realized, while Shakira Austin’s 7.0 rebounds validated our under. Offsetting that, Gabby Williams cleared her points under, and Sabrina Ionescu missed her assists over by the slimmest margin.
• The day’s result underscores variance across mixed markets: a few emphatic wins, several tight margins, and some straightforward misses that did not align with our projections.

What’s next

• Every pick we make is graded publicly, win or lose. You can see the full ledger of all 403 graded player props from August 27, 2026 on LineCrush, including closing lines, outcomes, and actual stats for complete accountability.

Bottom line: August 27, 2026 finished 192-211. MLB was 158-179; WNBA was 34-32. We hit clean unders on Sal Frelick and Vladimir Guerrero Jr., a big assists over on Veronica Burton, and solid positions on Jazz Chisholm singles and Shakira Austin rebounds. We also missed plainly on Gabby Williams points, Sabrina Ionescu assists, Sean Manaea earned runs, Cody Bellinger H+R+RBI, and Pete Alonso RBIs. All results are posted and graded publicly by LineCrush.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.