Player Prop Results for August 25, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 382-423 on August 25, 2026, across 805 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins. LineCrush’s models posted a 382-423 record overall, with every pick graded and listed publicly.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 342-384
• WNBA: 40-39

Biggest Wins

• Daulton Varsho — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Our analysis targeted Varsho’s bases to clear the posted threshold, and he landed exactly 2.0 total bases to cash the Over.
• Jake Bauers — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. A clean Under with no total bases recorded, delivering the result our models projected.
• Zach Neto — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. We needed a single hit; he delivered exactly one to get this Over home.
• Kyle Tucker — Batter Singles Over 1.50: WIN, actual 1.0. This was graded a win as listed. The result is reported as a WIN with 1.0 single.
• Alek Thomas — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. Another one-hit Over that cleared the 0.50 mark exactly as needed.

Where We Missed

• Jo Adell — Batter Rbis Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed at least one RBI; he finished with none, and the Over did not get there.
• Kyle Schwarber — Batter Hits Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. This required one hit; he recorded zero, so the Over was a miss.
• Bryson Stott — Batter Hits Under: LOSS, actual 1.0. The Under didn’t hold; he picked up a hit, and the play lost.
• Yordan Alvarez — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 5.0. This wasn’t close. Alvarez stacked 5.0 total bases against our Under.
• Willson Contreras — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. We were on the Under for hits; he recorded two, decisively beating that number.

What this means for August 25 is straightforward: the slate was heavy MLB, and our MLB record mirrored the day’s overall outcome, finishing 342-384. WNBA was essentially even at 40-39. The notable wins show LineCrush’s models catching several thin-margin Over spots that needed exactly one event to clear—Neto and Thomas each delivered a single hit, Varsho got to 2.0 total bases, and Bauers’ 0.0 total bases secured the Under. On the other side, several high-visibility bats went the wrong way for our numbers. Alvarez’s 5.0 total bases blew past the Under. Contreras and Stott each recorded the hits that turned both of those Under positions into losses. Schwarber and Adell didn’t provide the single event needed to cash their Overs, and those misses count just the same in our ledger.

Nothing here is hidden or spun. The record is 382-423 for August 25, 2026, and you can see every graded prop reflected in that total. Some days the edges show up in a handful of tight wins; other days, the losses stack. We report both with equal clarity.

Every pick we post is graded publicly, win or lose, so you can audit our performance game by game and prop by prop. Our analysis will be back with fresh projections, but the results above are final and fully accounted for.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.