Player Prop Results for August 22, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 383-458 on August 22, 2026, across 841 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly. MLB finished under water, while WNBA closed in the green, but the net was negative overall.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 330-416
• WNBA: 53-42

Biggest Wins

• Pete Crow-Armstrong — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN (actual: 2.0). LineCrush’s models flagged a reachable path to two bases, and he got there. Whether by a pair of singles or an extra-base hit, 2.0 total bases cleared the 1.50 comfortably and cashed the Over.
• Jeremy Peña — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN (actual: 1.0). This Under depended on limiting extra-base damage, and finishing at 1.0 total bases did just that. Our analysis had a tight range here, and 1.0 stayed beneath the unspecified book line for a clean Under grade.
• Alex Bregman — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN (actual: 4.0). This was decisive. Hitting 4.0 total bases meant any standard Over cleared by margin. LineCrush’s models called for impact contact, and Bregman delivered in full.
• Willson Contreras — Batter Runs Scored Under 0.50: WIN (actual: 0.0). Zero runs scored is the only way to cash an Under 0.50, and we got it. This was a straight binary that landed on the right side.
• Tarik Skubal — Pitcher Outs Over 18.50: WIN (actual: 21.0). Getting through seven full frames (21 outs) beat 18.50 clearly. Our analysis leaned on workload stability here, and he finished the job.

Where We Missed

• Ryan Weathers — Pitcher Earned Runs Under: LOSS (actual: 2.0). This Under did not hold. Allowing 2.0 earned runs put the result over the target Under and graded a loss for us. No angles or caveats—just a miss.
• Jackson Merrill — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS (actual: 2.0). We took a stand against a hit, and he logged two. Any contact would have sunk this; two hits made it a decisive loss.
• Willson Contreras — Batter Hits Under: LOSS (actual: 1.0). We needed zero. He finished with 1.0 hit, and that’s enough to beat an Under on hits. This was on the wrong side, even while his separate runs-scored Under cashed.
• Nolan Arenado — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS (actual: 4.0). This wasn’t close. At 4.0 total bases, any Under position was blown out. Our read didn’t capture the power outcome, and it cost us.
• Christian Scott — Pitcher Outs Over 15.50: LOSS (actual: 14.0). He didn’t reach the 16 outs needed. Stopping at 14.0 meant two outs short and a clear Over miss.

Every pick above is graded exactly as listed—no edits, no spin. MLB’s 330-416 pulled the overall slate down despite WNBA’s 53-42. Some highlights landed with authority—Bregman at 4.0 bases and Skubal clearing 18.50 outs—while a set of precise Unders, like Merrill’s hits and Arenado’s total bases, moved firmly against us. That’s part of the grind, and we log it exactly as it happened.

LineCrush’s models publish and grade every player prop publicly, win or lose. If you tailed these, you saw the same outcomes we did: 383-458 on August 22, 2026, with all results tracked transparently. We’ll keep iterating, and you’ll always see the real record.

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