MLB Player Props Tonight (August 13, 2026): Best Bets and Top Picks

The best MLB player props tonight, per LineCrush’s models, start with two 10/10 conviction picks: Steven Kwan — Batter Hits Over 1.50 and Aaron Nola — Pitcher Outs Under 16.50. If you’re building a tight card, those are the headliners. Taj Bradley — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 5.50 also makes the cut as a high-confidence add.

Tonight’s MLB Slate
It’s a compact nine-game schedule spread across the day: CLE-DET, PIT-MIA, SEA-NYY, CIN-CWS, BOS-TOR, CHC-WSH roll through the afternoon, before a three-game nightcap with PHI-MIN at 7:30 PM ET, then TEX-LAA (10:08 PM ET) and MIL-LAD (10:10 PM ET). Timing matters if you’re laddering exposure from early to late windows.

Top Player Props for August 13, 2026

• Highest conviction (10/10)

  • Steven Kwan — Batter Hits Over 1.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Aggressive Efficiency”)
    • Our analysis flags Kwan’s multi-hit upside tonight with elite confidence. The “Aggressive Efficiency” read signals a contact-forward profile in a favorable context, supporting an Over 1.50 approach for bettors comfortable with plus-money multi-hit ladders.
  • Aaron Nola — Pitcher Outs Under 16.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Battling Slump”)
    • LineCrush’s models are firm on workload risk and efficiency concerns. “Battling Slump” points to shorter leash and traffic potential, making Under 16.50 outs the sharp angle if you expect early pitch count pressure.

• Strong adds (8/10)

  • Taj Bradley — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 5.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Environmentally Dominant”)
    • The model leans into matchup dynamics and whiff environment. With an “Environmentally Dominant” tag, Bradley profiles to clear six punchouts at a solid clip.
  • Austin Wells — Batter Hits Over 0.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Focused Contact”)
    • Simple, playable Over 0.50 hits backed by a bat-to-ball spike. “Focused Contact” supports at least one knock in tonight’s setup.
  • Ronny Simon — Batter Hits Runs Rbis Over 1.50 (conviction pick; current read: “High Energy”)
    • A box-score-stuffing angle. “High Energy” aligns with multi-path production—any combo of hits, runs, or RBIs to clear 1.50.

• Market edges to round out cards (6/10)

  • Max Scherzer — Pitcher Outs Under 15.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Fading Elite”)
    • Respect the name, play the number. “Fading Elite” suggests diminished depth; Under 15.50 outs benefits from any efficiency dip or quick hook.
  • Payton Tolle — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 5.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Ascendant Ace”)
    • Developmental arrow up. “Ascendant Ace” indicates rising K skills that can get him to six strikeouts with moderate volatility.
  • Brett Bateman — Batter Runs Scored Over 0.50 (conviction pick; current read: “Disciplined Catalyst”)
    • Table-setter profile. “Disciplined Catalyst” points to on-base steadiness and lineup support to cross the plate at least once.

Quick card if you want just three: Steven Kwan Over 1.50 Hits, Aaron Nola Under 16.50 Outs, Taj Bradley Over 5.50 Strikeouts.

How These Picks Work
LineCrush’s models surface high-conviction edges based on current reads like “Aggressive Efficiency” and “Battling Slump.” We grade every pick publicly the next day—wins and losses—so you can see how each angle performed and hold us accountable over time.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.