Player Prop Results for August 12, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Bottom line up front: On August 12, 2026, LineCrush’s models went 289-443 across 732 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins.

We grade every pick publicly, and we’re recapping exactly what hit and what didn’t from yesterday’s board.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 244-391
• WNBA: 45-52

That sums to the full 732 props (289 wins, 443 losses). MLB carried the bulk of the volume and the deficit; WNBA was also negative on the day.

Biggest Wins

Our analysis did find several bright spots where the read was clear and the results followed.

• Carmen Mlodzinski (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Under 3.50: WIN, actual 1.0
  LineCrush’s models leaned under on his punchout ceiling, and he finished well below at 1.0 strikeout, cashing comfortably.

• Teoscar Hernandez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0
  A clean under as Hernandez didn’t register a base, landing at 0.0 total bases.

• William Contreras (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0
  Another total bases under that never sweated; Contreras finished with 0.0.

• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN, actual 12.0
  The standout over of the day. Bregman didn’t just get there; he smashed it with 12.0 total bases.

• Ronny Simon (MLB) — Batter Singles Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  Needed one, got two. A straightforward over that cleared with room to spare.

These wins show the model hit both sides of the market: ceiling overs like Bregman and conservative unders like Hernandez and Contreras.

Where We Missed

We also missed — and missed clearly — on several calls. No spin, here’s what went wrong on the listed losses:

• David Peterson (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Under 4.50: LOSS, actual 6.0
  We projected an under; he punched out 6, finishing well above the 4.5 line.

• Tyler Soderstrom (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0
  We were on the under, and he reached 2.0 total bases, clearing that position.

• Fernando Tatis Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: LOSS, actual 0.0
  We needed production; he finished at 0.0 total bases, missing the over entirely.

• Miguel Rojas (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0
  The under didn’t hold. Rojas got to 2.0 total bases.

• Caleb Durbin (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0
  Another under that didn’t land, with Durbin also finishing at 2.0 total bases.

Each of these misses is graded as posted, win or lose, and counted in the record above. The MLB board in particular drove the negative day, and these examples reflect where our read didn’t match the outcomes.

Final Word

Yesterday was a down day: 289-443 overall, with MLB at 244-391 and WNBA at 45-52. LineCrush’s models are graded publicly on every pick, every day — the wins like Bregman’s 12.0 total bases and the losses like Tatis Jr.’s 0.0 all count in the open. If you tailed, you see exactly what happened; if you’re tracking, the entire slate is on record, transparently.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.