Player Prop Results for August 09, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 310-306 on August 09, 2026, across 616 graded player props. That’s a narrow winning day with 310 wins and 306 losses, exactly as recorded by LineCrush’s models. No spin, no rounding—those are the numbers.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 270-258
• WNBA: 40-48

Biggest Wins

• Jared Triolo (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN. Actual: 0.0. Our analysis leaned under, and Triolo finished without a base, cashing the play cleanly.
• Christian Walker (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN. Actual: 0.0. Another under that landed with zero total bases, matching the read from LineCrush’s models.
• Taylor Ward (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN. Actual: 3.0. Ward cleared the 1.5 with room to spare, a decisive over that validated the edge.
• George Springer (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: WIN. Actual: 0.0. A hits under that required a clean sheet—and got it.
• Michael Busch (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN. Actual: 4.0. This was our biggest margin among the featured winners; Busch doubled the target with four total bases.

Where We Missed

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: LOSS. Actual: 0.0. We needed a single hit and didn’t get it. This over missed outright.
• Brenton Doyle (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS. Actual: 2.0. We took an under on hits; Doyle recorded two, defeating the position decisively.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS. Actual: 2.0. We played under 1.5; Guerrero Jr. reached two total bases, clearing the line and handing us the L.
• Zach Neto (MLB) — Batter Home Runs Over 0.50: LOSS. Actual: 0.0. A home run prop that required one swing didn’t materialize. No homers, no cover.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong (MLB) — Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50: LOSS. Actual: 0.0. We needed at least one steal; none recorded, and the over did not get there.

Context and Takeaways

• The overall slate finished 310-306, a slim positive margin on volume. MLB led the day with a 270-258 record, while WNBA closed 40-48.
• Among the highlights, LineCrush’s models were on point targeting under outcomes for both Jared Triolo and Christian Walker, each finishing with 0.0 total bases. On the over side, Taylor Ward (3.0 total bases) and Michael Busch (4.0 total bases) both cleared their 1.5 lines, with Busch delivering the largest cushion of the featured wins.
• The misses were straightforward and measurable. Our over on Christian Encarnacion-Strand’s hits didn’t secure a single knock. Brenton Doyle beat our hits under with a two-hit night. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. edged past the 1.5 total bases under with exactly 2.0. Power didn’t show for the Zach Neto home run over, and Pete Crow-Armstrong didn’t register the steal needed to cash his over 0.50.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. Yesterday’s 616-player-prop slate is fully posted with the same transparency shown here—310 wins, 306 losses, and each result available for review.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.