Player Prop Results for August 07, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 389-423 on August 07, 2026, across 812 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins, documented pick by pick. Below is the full snapshot of how LineCrush’s models performed, what hit, and where we missed.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 345-362
• WNBA: 44-61

Biggest Wins

• Zach Neto (MLB) — Batter Singles Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Our analysis targeted the under on singles, and Neto finished without a single. Clean result that aligned with the read.
• Javier Baez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Baez was held off the bases entirely, making the under straightforward. This was one of the clearer unders on the slate that cashed.
• Wilyer Abreu (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: WIN, actual 3.0. Abreu cleared the 1.5 line with room to spare, landing at 3.0 total bases. When we play an over, we want decisiveness like this.
• Corbin Carroll (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Carroll was kept hitless, delivering a no-sweat under at 0.0. A precise call that matched our models’ expectation.
• Michael Busch (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Busch got to 2.0 total bases, enough to cash the over. Not flashy, but exactly what was needed.

Where We Missed

• Roki Sasaki (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 15.50: LOSS, actual 18.0. We were under on outs, and Sasaki worked deeper than projected, recording 18.0 outs. That’s a clear miss on endurance and efficiency.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over: LOSS, actual 1.0. On an over for hits, 1.0 can be enough depending on the bookmaker line, but this graded as a loss for our pick. The number landed short for us, and the over didn’t get there.
• Nico Hoerner (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over 1.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. No total bases at all. This wasn’t close; we needed at least two bases and got zero.
• Jared Triolo (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. We were on the under, and Triolo reached 2.0 total bases, pushing it over the threshold and sinking the play.
• Alyssa Thomas (WNBA) — Points Rebounds Assists Over 33.50: LOSS, actual 23.0. We needed 34 or more; she finished at 23.0. That’s a double-digit shortfall and a firm miss.

What this means for the day: the MLB board produced the bulk of volume with a near-even split but still negative at 345-362. The WNBA card struggled at 44-61. Even with some standout MLB wins—like Abreu clearing 1.5 total bases and Carroll staying hitless—the aggregate results were underwater.

This recap is radically honest by design. Every figure above is exactly how it graded, win or lose. If you tailed our MLB unders on Neto and Baez, or the overs on Abreu and Busch, you saw clean wins. If you followed the outs under on Sasaki or the PRA over on Alyssa Thomas, you felt the misses just as plainly.

Every LineCrush pick is graded publicly, every day. You can audit all 812 player props from August 07, 2026, on our site—no spin, just the results.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.