Player Prop Results for August 05, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s picks went 349-420 on August 05, 2026, across 769 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins. LineCrush’s models graded every pick and the record above reflects the full slate, no omissions.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 306-353
• WNBA: 43-67

Biggest Wins

• Jared Triolo (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. Our analysis landed cleanly here with a total goose egg, validating the Under with room to spare.
• Michael Busch (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: WIN, actual 3.0. The Over cleared comfortably, with Busch stacking enough bases to cash without sweat.
• Dansby Swanson (MLB) — Batter Hits Over: WIN, actual 1.0. This was a tight Over that required just one knock; he got exactly one to push the pick across.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. A straightforward 0.5 hits line; Bregman delivered a single to make the Over a winner.
• Otto Lopez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Another zero-base outing that made the Under decisive, with no late sweat.

Where We Missed

• Tanner Bibee (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over 17.50: LOSS, actual 17.0. This miss was by a single out; 17 recorded outs fell just short of the Over 17.5.
• Shota Imanaga (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over 17.50: LOSS, actual 15.0. We needed six full innings’ worth of outs; he ended four outs shy, and the Over did not come close.
• Miguel Rojas (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 2.0. The Under didn’t hold; Rojas reached two total bases to flip this to a loss.
• Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 9.0. This was a clear miss. Ohtani smashed the Under with nine total bases, far exceeding the line.
• Alyssa Thomas (WNBA) — Points Rebounds Assists Over 31.50: LOSS, actual 29.0. The Over needed a bit more across the stat line; 29 PRA fell short.

What this means for August 05, 2026

• The overall 349-420 mark underscores a tough day across both sports.
• MLB volume dominated the slate and finished 306-353. Even with some strong reads on hitters like Triolo, Busch, Swanson, Bregman, and Lopez, misses on pitcher outs and high-ceiling bats like Ohtani weighed the MLB card negative.
• WNBA closed 43-67. Alyssa Thomas’s 29 PRA undercut the Over and added to a day where our WNBA leans didn’t convert often enough.

How to read a day like this

• Variance cuts both ways. We’re not sugarcoating it: 349-420 is a losing record.
• The notable wins show our reads can be precise on binary edges (e.g., total bases Unders landing at 0.0, hits Overs clearing on exactly one hit).
• The notable losses highlight two failure modes: narrowly missing thresholds (Bibee at 17.0 vs 17.5) and getting blown out on totals when a star explodes (Ohtani’s 9.0 total bases).

What’s next

• LineCrush’s models will keep grading every pick publicly, win or lose.
• If you tailed the slate, you saw the same numbers we did—every result above is posted and locked.
• Check the live board and historical grade pages to see the full 769 graded props from August 05, 2026, along with all future slates, with the same transparency.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.