Player Prop Results for August 04, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 406-407 on August 04, 2026, grading 813 player props. That’s a losing day by a single pick, and we’re calling it exactly what it was. MLB dragged us slightly under .500, while WNBA was a strong bright spot.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 365-394
• WNBA: 41-13

Biggest Wins

• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over: WIN, actual 1.0. Our analysis expected Bregman to find at least one knock, and he did exactly that to clear the Over.
• Corbin Carroll (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. LineCrush’s models leaned Under, and Carroll finished without a total base, landing well beneath 1.50.
• Wilyer Abreu (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0. This cleared comfortably; two hits put this Over beyond doubt.
• Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 1.0. We were on the Under, and Ohtani finishing at 1.0 total bases kept it in range for the cash.
• Kyle Schwarber (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0. The Under was never threatened here, with Schwarber ending at zero total bases.

Where We Missed

• Dominic Canzone (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Over: LOSS, actual 1.0. We needed more total bases; the Over didn’t get there.
• Willy Adames (MLB) — Batter Hits Under: LOSS, actual 1.0. We played the Under on hits, but a single hit is all it took to beat us.
• Daulton Varsho (MLB) — Batter RBIs Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed at least one RBI and didn’t get it; this stayed Under.
• Otto Lopez (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0. We were on the Under and were wrong by a wide margin as Lopez reached three total bases.
• Jared Jones (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over 14.50: LOSS, actual 12.0. The Over never materialized; Jones didn’t record enough outs to threaten the number.

A few takeaways are clear from this slate. The WNBA performance (41-13) carried the card and showed strong signal in that market yesterday. MLB, however, finished 365-394 and pulled the overall record to 406-407. The notable wins show our reads on several prominent bats skewed correctly toward conservative total-base Unders and accessible hit Overs. Conversely, some situational Overs—particularly on total bases and pitcher outs—fell short, as seen with Dominic Canzone and Jared Jones, and a confident Under on Otto Lopez’s total bases did not hold.

This recap is not a spin job. It was a 406-407 day, and that’s how it stands in our ledger. LineCrush’s models will continue to grade every pick publicly, win or lose, so you can always see exactly how we did yesterday and how each individual prop landed.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.