Player Prop Results for August 03, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

On August 03, 2026, LineCrush’s models went 247-296 across 543 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins, with 296 misses against 247 hits.

Every result below is exactly as graded on LineCrush — win or lose.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 193-234
• WNBA: 54-62

Biggest Wins

• Andy Pages (MLB) — Batter Hits Runs RBIs Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Our analysis backed Pages to contribute across the stat line, and he cleared the combo with a total output of 2.0. These multi-category “Hits+Runs+RBIs” tickets depend on overall involvement; Pages got there.
• Kyle Schwarber (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. This is the precise kind of Under our models aim to capture: power bat, but constrained outcome. Schwarber finished without a base, cashing the Under comfortably.
• Alex Bregman (MLB) — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 1.0. A single is all it takes on a 0.50 line. Bregman delivered exactly one hit, enough to grade the Over as a win.
• Corbin Carroll (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Carroll was held off the bases entirely, validating the Under with room to spare.
• Michael King (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 17.50: WIN, actual 15.0. King didn’t reach the sixth-inning threshold implied by 17.5 outs. Finishing at 15.0 outs made this a clean Under.

Where We Missed

• Ernie Clement (MLB) — Batter Stolen Bases Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed a single steal; it didn’t happen. No attempts or no successful swipe, the result is the same: the Over missed.
• Spencer Horwitz (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. Betting against any hit requires a clean sheet; Horwitz recorded one, which is all it takes to sink an Under 0.50.
• Daulton Varsho (MLB) — Batter Hits Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. Same dynamic as Horwitz: one base knock turns the Under into a loss, and Varsho delivered that single hit.
• Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Runs Scored Under 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0. We took a position that Ohtani would be held off the board; he crossed the plate once, pushing this Under to a loss.
• Shane Bieber (MLB) — Pitcher Walks Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 2.0. Under 1.5 leaves no margin for a second free pass. Bieber issued two walks, and that’s a clear miss.

Context matters, but results matter more. August 03 finished 247-296 overall, and the per-sport breakdown shows both MLB (193-234) and WNBA (54-62) in the red. Even with solid reads like Schwarber Under total bases and King Under outs, our losses — from stolen bases that never materialized to single-hit Unders breaking against us — outweighed the wins on the day.

We don’t hide the tough slates. LineCrush grades every pick publicly, win or lose, so you can see exactly what our models backed and how each prop finished. If you tailed these, you know the score; if you’re reviewing for today’s edges, this honesty is the baseline for improvement.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.