Player Prop Results for July 29, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

We went 333-429-1 on July 29, 2026, across 763 graded player props. That’s a losing day, and we’re stating it plainly: more losses than wins, with one push. Below is the full breakdown of how LineCrush’s models performed, what hit, and what didn’t.

Overall: 333-429-1 (763 graded player props)

By the Numbers

• MLB: 298-393
• WNBA: 35-36-1

Our analysis tracked a heavy MLB slate and a smaller WNBA card. Both sports finished in the red, with MLB accounting for the bulk of the volume and the losses.

Biggest Wins

• Dalton Rushing (MLB) — Batter Singles Over: WIN, actual 1.0
  The Over cleared with a single. LineCrush’s models identified a path for at least one knock, and Rushing delivered exactly one to cash.
• Angel Reese (WNBA) — Assists Over 2.50: WIN, actual 4.0
  Reese surpassed the 2.50 mark comfortably, finishing with 4.0 dimes. This was one of the brighter WNBA spots on the slate.
• Francisco Lindor (MLB) — Batter Runs Scored Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0
  A clean Under. Lindor didn’t cross the plate, matching our projection for a lower-scoring contribution.
• Willson Contreras (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 1.0
  Contreras stayed Under the number. The result aligned with our read on limited extra bases in this matchup.
• Cam Schlittler (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Over: WIN, actual 19.0
  Schlittler worked deep enough to get past the Over, reaching 19 outs and validating the workload signal in our analysis.

Where We Missed

We missed more than we hit on July 29, and the notable losses below were part of that.

• Jose Caballero (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 3.0
  We were on the Under, but Caballero reached 3.0 total bases and cleared it.
• Tarik Skubal (MLB) — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 8.50: LOSS, actual 6.0
  The Over didn’t get close. Skubal finished at 6.0 strikeouts, well short of 8.50.
• Nico Hoerner (MLB) — Batter Singles Over: LOSS, actual 0.0
  We needed at least one single; Hoerner didn’t record any.
• Shohei Ohtani (MLB) — Batter Total Bases Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0
  Ohtani doubled up the threshold. Our Under call missed with Ohtani landing at 3.0 total bases.
• Joe Ryan (MLB) — Pitcher Outs Under 17.50: LOSS, actual 18.0
  We took the Under and lost by a single out. Ryan got to 18.0 and nudged it over.

What It Means

• Volume and variance both cut against us on July 29. MLB carried the day’s weight and finished 298-393, while WNBA closed 35-36-1.
• The wins we did secure were clear model angles: Reese’s assist volume, Schlittler’s outs, and disciplined Unders on Lindor and Contreras. But the misses—especially on Ohtani’s total bases and Skubal’s strikeouts—mattered more given the overall ledger.

Every pick is graded publicly on LineCrush, win or lose. You can verify all 763 outcomes from July 29, 2026, and track how LineCrush’s models are performing day by day, sport by sport.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.