July 27, 2026 Results: 301-326 overall. We graded 627 player props yesterday and finished below water, with 301 wins and 326 losses. That’s the full picture — a losing day for LineCrush’s models.

Every result below reflects our graded picks from July 27, 2026.

By the Numbers

MLB: 301-326

Biggest Wins

Max Scherzer — Pitcher Outs Under: WIN, actual 8.0. Our analysis projected a short outing window, and the Under cleared decisively with Scherzer recording just 8 outs.
David Peterson — Pitcher Outs Over 15.50: WIN, actual 17.0. Peterson worked deep enough to cash the Over by a full out, finishing at 17.
Jose Caballero — Batter Hits Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0. Zero hits locked the Under cleanly; the threshold was binary and landed our way.
Miguel Amaya — Batter Hits Over: WIN, actual 2.0. Amaya produced multiple knocks, comfortably validating the Over.
Kumar Rocker — Pitcher Strikeouts Over 4.50: WIN, actual 7.0. Rocker’s punchout total cleared the 4.5 mark with room to spare, finishing at seven.

Where We Missed

Max Fried — Pitcher Earned Runs Under 1.50: LOSS, actual 3.0. We were on the Under, and Fried allowed three earned runs — double the line — resulting in a clear miss.
Tyler Phillips — Pitcher Strikeouts Under: LOSS, actual 5.0. We backed the Under, but Phillips recorded five strikeouts, pushing this one to a loss against the unspecified lower threshold.
Ronald Acuña Jr. — Batter Stolen Bases Over: LOSS, actual 0.0. We needed a swipe and didn’t get one; Acuña Jr. finished with zero steals.
Otto Lopez — Batter Hits Under: LOSS, actual 3.0. We went Under, and Lopez stacked three hits — well beyond what we needed to avoid.
Colson Montgomery — Batter Total Bases Under: LOSS, actual 3.0. The Under didn’t hold; Montgomery reached three total bases, comfortably over our position.

What it Means

The day’s ledger was negative: 301-326 overall. There’s no spin here — it was a losing slate.
MLB carried the entire card and landed below breakeven. Even with several clean victories — notably the Scherzer Outs Under, Peterson Outs Over 15.50, and Rocker Strikeouts Over 4.50 — misses on key Unders (Fried ER, Lopez hits, Montgomery total bases) and props needing counting stats that didn’t come (Acuña Jr. steals) pulled the record into the red.
The highlight wins showed where our read aligned: short leashes or efficiency risks for Scherzer, innings endurance for Peterson, and strikeout upside for Rocker. On the other side, earned runs and contact variance worked against several Unders, and a stolen base Over is binary by nature — with zero, it’s an immediate loss.

Final Word

We grade every pick publicly, win or lose, and July 27 is no exception: 301-326 across 627 MLB player props. If you tailed, you saw the same thing we did — some sharp hits, but more misses than wins on the day. Check the full graded sheet on LineCrush to review each prop’s outcome and hold us accountable for every result.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.