Player Prop Results for July 26, 2026: Graded Wins and Losses

Yesterday’s picks finished 299-316 on July 26, 2026 — 615 graded player props with more losses than wins. All action came from MLB, and we’re stating it plainly: we were 17 picks under .500 for the day.

By the Numbers

• MLB: 299-316
• Total: 299-316 (615 graded player props)

Biggest Wins

LineCrush’s models did connect on several sharp calls, especially on disciplined unders in batter markets and a key pitcher over:

• Wyatt Langford — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 1.0
  Our analysis expected limited extra-base damage, and Langford stayed modest with just 1.0 total bases, cashing the under.

• Kerry Carpenter — Batter Total Bases Under: WIN, actual 0.0
  A clean read on a quiet day at the plate; Carpenter was held to zero total bases, an emphatic under.

• Jose Caballero — Batter Hits Under 0.50: WIN, actual 0.0
  Zero hits meant the under landed exactly as projected by our analysis.

• Manny Machado — Batter Hits Over 0.50: WIN, actual 2.0
  A confident over that got there with room to spare as Machado collected two hits.

• Will Warren — Pitcher Hits Allowed Over 4.50: WIN, actual 6.0
  We anticipated contact piling up against Warren, and he yielded six hits to clear the over comfortably.

These results reflect spots where our read on contact suppression, plate outcomes, and pitcher contact risk aligned with the actual box score.

Where We Missed

No hedging here — these were clear misses, and they count the same on our ledger:

• Janson Junk — Pitcher Strikeouts Under 3.50: LOSS, actual 6.0
  We projected fewer punchouts; instead, Junk missed bats and blew past the number with six strikeouts.

• Pete Crow-Armstrong — Batter Hits Over 0.50: LOSS, actual 1.0
  Despite recording 1.0 in the actual column, this over did not cash for us. It goes in the loss column as graded.

• Ronel Blanco — Pitcher Outs Under: LOSS, actual 16.0
  We were positioned against length, but Blanco logged 16 outs, extending deeper than our under required.

• Christian Encarnacion-Strand — Batter Total Bases Over: LOSS, actual 1.0
  We needed more thump here. With only 1.0 total bases, the over did not get there.

• Jacob Misiorowski — Pitcher Outs Under: LOSS, actual 17.0
  Another under on outs that came up short; Misiorowski reached 17 outs, exceeding our threshold.

Each of these was graded exactly as listed above. There’s no spin: they’re losses.

Radical transparency: 299 wins, 316 losses, all MLB, all graded.

We grade every pick publicly, win or lose, so you can track performance day by day without guesswork. Yesterday’s 299-316 is on the board, and every prop cited here is in our results ledger. Check LineCrush’s picks pages to see the full slate of graded props from July 26, 2026, along with how our analysis is adapting heading into the next card.

Want the full breakdown? See today's picks and analysis at linecrush.com/picks.